Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 2.441095e-05 2.933428e-05 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000055 0.000064
2025-06-01 1.703504e-05 2.305061e-05 0.000030 0.000039 0.000049 0.000062 0.000076
2025-06-08 1.295994e-05 1.950217e-05 0.000028 0.000039 0.000052 0.000068 0.000089
2025-06-15 9.983343e-06 1.664619e-05 0.000026 0.000038 0.000054 0.000074 0.000100
2025-06-22 7.463896e-06 1.386086e-05 0.000023 0.000036 0.000055 0.000078 0.000109
2025-06-29 5.433095e-06 1.133536e-05 0.000020 0.000034 0.000054 0.000080 0.000115
2025-07-06 3.853556e-06 9.141275e-06 0.000018 0.000032 0.000053 0.000080 0.000120
2025-07-13 2.945371e-06 7.871751e-06 0.000017 0.000031 0.000053 0.000084 0.000128
2025-07-20 2.280122e-06 6.879548e-06 0.000015 0.000031 0.000054 0.000088 0.000136
2025-07-27 1.877854e-06 6.316299e-06 0.000015 0.000031 0.000057 0.000093 0.000147
2025-08-03 1.794187e-06 6.448222e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000062 0.000104 0.000165
2025-08-10 1.446597e-06 5.848955e-06 0.000015 0.000034 0.000064 0.000109 0.000176
2025-08-17 8.452094e-07 4.436499e-06 0.000013 0.000031 0.000062 0.000109 0.000182
2025-08-24 4.956480e-07 3.477919e-06 0.000012 0.000030 0.000062 0.000112 0.000191
2025-08-31 3.134555e-07 2.920927e-06 0.000011 0.000029 0.000064 0.000119 0.000206
2025-09-07 1.831283e-07 2.407831e-06 0.000010 0.000029 0.000065 0.000124 0.000219
2025-09-14 8.624569e-08 1.856592e-06 0.000009 0.000028 0.000065 0.000127 0.000228
2025-09-21 3.058274e-08 1.357149e-06 0.000008 0.000026 0.000063 0.000128 0.000235
2025-09-28 6.704923e-09 9.456767e-07 0.000007 0.000024 0.000062 0.000128 0.000240
2025-10-05 1.222979e-09 7.306579e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000062 0.000132 0.000251
2025-10-12 7.053400e-11 5.723820e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000063 0.000136 0.000263
2025-10-19 5.427012e-14 4.891103e-07 0.000005 0.000023 0.000066 0.000144 0.000280
2025-10-26 NaN 5.149830e-07 0.000006 0.000025 0.000072 0.000157 0.000308